Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 36.158198 42.871701 50.276774 59.022015 69.037573 80.118767 93.274754
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 26.952501 35.982277 46.945962 61.109883 78.782050 99.953285 127.067537
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 22.176954 32.428200 45.810417 64.278042 88.778136 119.808319 161.665222
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 18.806609 29.716171 44.851747 66.904656 97.646448 138.337397 195.493696
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 15.701269 26.660412 42.737899 67.337818 103.168364 152.456398 224.146960
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 12.722809 23.184898 39.387983 65.365539 104.796204 161.008484 245.429124
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 10.868236 21.115298 37.775256 65.609405 109.402672 173.781168 273.135621
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 9.510684 19.617507 36.804416 66.619193 115.070855 188.273978 303.998949
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 7.429289 16.443885 32.597137 61.855623 111.180230 188.027045 312.808401
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.680580 15.621314 32.301312 63.522139 117.625619 203.865906 346.693373
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.728761 14.217766 30.755841 62.808404 119.984440 213.316562 371.078421
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.547503 14.381583 32.141206 67.432919 131.696677 238.375463 421.300506
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.341023 12.181877 28.860558 63.509006 128.925475 240.741981 437.290191
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.897042 11.646097 28.875703 65.918542 137.815279 263.459670 488.464902
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.588054 11.365925 29.375340 69.316771 148.783993 290.420421 548.274158
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.269431 10.983616 29.583576 72.119942 158.826370 316.349962 607.722296
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.839812 10.191174 28.731131 72.582005 164.354247 334.557821 654.799189
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.332774 9.031735 26.810731 70.478737 164.578193 343.105632 685.329459
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.024600 8.379890 26.010797 70.738834 169.542693 360.613661 732.642330
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.794960 7.911914 25.596167 71.815731 176.250973 381.741565 787.513733
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.366935 6.616588 22.739563 66.734214 169.416122 376.491578 793.596881
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.238132 6.361519 22.705811 68.512362 177.571773 400.832879 855.986840
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.050298 5.809752 21.714086 67.750871 180.003964 413.946425 897.732039